Drafting at #2 Overall Just Isn’t That Valuable

It’s Hutchinson Or Its Trade At #2 For The Lions, Nothing Else.

In this year’s draft, if Hutchinson isn’t available the Lions have to find a trade partner because the value just isn’t there. The guys from Beyond the Box explain why.

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Paul Rochon: As soon as it became clear that Aidan Hutchinson combined his way to being the number one overall pick, I wanted nothing to do with the second overall pick. Some of it is positional needs. Some of it is the lack of clear-cut prospects, at the two and the three spots, which is kind of crazy.

If you look back several months ago, everyone was having this debate. Kayvon Thibodeaux or Aidan Hutchinson one and two. And now Thibodeaux probably may be falling out of the top five. It’s crazy how this evolves and it’s why I don’t pay attention to mocks, especially before the combine. Even in the immediate aftermath, because they tend to be quite reactionary. Not that mocks are ever super accurate, but as we get closer, guys with intel, guys who speak to more GMs and decision-makers around the league will start to get an idea of how teams feel about some of these prospects.

Combine that with their own film study and game tape, you start to get a much clearer picture of how the league is starting to view these guys. You don’t know who’s going to go one through 10 under what order, but you start to get a clear picture. Now you’re telling me two’s not very attractive? You’re right. You’re absolutely right. 

But it’s a little bit of a misnomer and this is why. No matter how weak we may perceive it to be, the fact that there’s probably not a quarterback that any of these teams want to take it at number two, to make a really attractive trade package. I’ll touch on more than that in a minute. These teams are going to fall in love with a prospect or two. There is a good chance that a team is going to say, we like this prospect so much, we can’t wait to see if he falls to number four or five or eight or wherever it is. They may be willing to trade up and make that deal. Now it takes two to tango. Okay. There’s no guarantee that the offers come, but history has shown offers will probably come. And if they do, they can’t turn it down.

Even if it’s not the haul that you expected, it could be just getting out of that two slot, getting to a more palatable salary, even on your first-round pick. If we’re picking it eight versus two and we think that the players are comparable, now you’re saving cap space to do that. And you’re getting value in return in more draft capital.

To me, it’s a no-brainer. For the Lions specifically, who are you taking it to? Are you taking Kyle Hamilton

A.J. Reilly: Yeah. And that’s the thing that I’ve been saying for weeks on Straight Shootin’ and now I’m bringing it over here to Beyond the Box. I have said for weeks it’s Hutch or trade. Now, whether there was a palatable trade offer at two, was up in the air.

Right? But the issue to me is, I don’t want to draft a safety for the backend of my defense at two. Kyle Hamilton, he may be an all world prospect but I would rather trade out of two and let Kyle Hamilton be there at 5, 6, 7, 8, and draft him there. If he’s available. I want absolutely nothing to do with Kayvon Tibideau, nothing at all to do with him. I think he’s a lot of hype and a lot of flash because his athleticism has proved to be that. It just seemed like this season, maybe there were some injury issues but were they really injury issues or lack of desire? Who knows? Right. 

Then you get the attitude at the combine where he was seen walking off the field. All these different things that just seem to add up to a pre-Madonna. He knows he’s a high draft pick and I want nothing to do with Kayvon Tibideau at all. So then, who else do you take? Is it Travon Walker out of Georgia at two? I don’t think that’s a very good value. 

Paul Rochon: It’s way too early, right?

A.J. Reilly: And that’s the thing, you’re also not going to reach for somebody like Nakobe Dean at two either.

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Written by Amy Price

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