It’s Casey Mize Day in Kansas City!
On Thursday night, the Detroit Tigers will be in Missouri to take on the Kansas City Royals in the first game of their four-game series
Just moments ago, the Tigers released their starting lineup for tonight’s game and as you can see, SS Javier Baez is back after missing Wednesday’s finale vs. the Boston Red Sox.
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SP Casey Mize will make his second start of the season for the Tigers.
Tonight’s game, which begins at 8:10 PM ET, can be seen on Bally Sports Detroit and heard on 97.1 the Ticket.
We’re in the business of Missouri, let's take it from the top. pic.twitter.com/SRrS1qgMzm
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) April 14, 2022
MLB Betting Guide: Thursday 4/14/22
numberFire has built comprehensive algorithms to pinpoint the bets with the highest probability of returning money, whether you are betting on the total, a runline, or moneyline.
For those new to numberFire, we use a five-star system to show which bets you should be targeting on any given night. Stars represent how much you should risk on a wager relative to what you would normally bet. For example, if you would normally bet $110 to win $100 on a -110 spread wager, if we give a three-star ranking, we suggest risking three times that amount: $330 to win $300.
Using our model as a guide, let’s take a look at the best bets to make at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you’re seeing the most updated information.
Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Moneyline (+114): 2-Star Rating Out of 5
Our model is a fan of the underdog Washington Nationals today in their road game at the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Pirates are going with JT Brubaker on the mound while Washington is turning to Joan Adon.
Adon has just two starts and 9 2/3 MLB innings to his name, but he had an excellent 2021 campaign that took him through four levels. The righty opened the year in High-A before flying through the Nats’ system and making his MLB debut.
Washington obviously thinks highly of Adon, and this is a friendly matchup for him versus a Pittsburgh offense that was 28th in wOBA last year (.294) and projects to be a bad lineup once again (28th by FanGraphs’ projections).
Brubaker’s numbers are somewhat intriguing. He pitched to a 4.04 SIERA across 124 1/3 frames in 2021 on the back of a 24.0% strikeout rate and 12.0% swinging-strike rate. His downfall has been taters. Brubaker permitted 2.03 dingers per nine last season and allowed one in three innings in his 2022 debut. The gopher ball could get him today as he does battle with Juan Soto, Nelson Cruz and Josh Bell.
We project the underdog Nats to win by a score of 4.77-4.33. We give Washington win odds of 52.4% and rate taking them on the moneyline as a two-star wager.
